@Article{XueDBZZLNYTSKVASMLTYNQQNSWZZNPPFSXBBBFHLPZMRBCRVKELGZTLQZ:2023:GEPhI,
               author = "Xue, Yongkang and Diallo, Ismaila and Boone, Aaron A. and Zhang, 
                         Yang and Zeng, Xubin and Lau, William K. M. and Neelin, J. David 
                         and Yao, Tandong and Tang, Qi and Sato, Tomonori and Koo, 
                         Myung-Seo and Vitart, Frederic and Ardilouze, Constantin and Saha, 
                         Subodh K. and Materia, Stefano and Lin, Zhaohui and Takaya, Yuhei 
                         and Yang, Jing and Nakamura, Tetsu and Qi, Xin and Qin, Yi and 
                         Nobre, Paulo and Senan, Retish and Wang, Hailan and Zhang, 
                         Hongliang and Zhao, Mei and Nayak, Hara Prasad and Pan, Yan and 
                         Pan, Xiaoduo and Feng, Jinming and Shi, Chunxiang and Xie, 
                         Shaocheng and Brunke, Michael A. and Bao, Qing and Bottino, Marcus 
                         Jorge and Fan, Tianyi and Hong, Songyou and Lin, Yanluan and 
                         Peano, Daniele and Zhan, Yanling and Mechoso, Carlos R. and Ren, 
                         Xuejuan and Balsamo, Gianpaolo and Chou, Sin Chan and Rosnay, 
                         Patricia de and Van Oevelen, Peter J. and Klocke, Daniel and Ek, 
                         Michael and Li, Xin and Guo, Weidong and Zhu, Yuejian and Tang, 
                         Jianping and Liang, Xin-Zhong and Qian, Yun and Zhao, Ping",
          affiliation = "0000-0002-6169-9631 and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and 
                         {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} 
                         and {} and {} and {} and {} and {Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas 
                         Espaciais (INPE)} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} 
                         and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and 
                         {} and {} and {} and {} and {} and {Instituto Nacional de 
                         Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)}",
                title = "Remote effects of Tibetan Plateau spring land temperature on 
                         global subseasonal to seasonal precipitation prediction and 
                         comparison with effects of sea surface temperature: the GEWEX/LS4P 
                         Phase I experiment",
              journal = "Climate Dynamics",
                 year = "2023",
               volume = "10",
                pages = "1007",
             abstract = "The prediction skill for precipitation anomalies in late spring 
                         and summer monthsa signifcant component of extreme climate 
                         eventshas remained stubbornly low for years. This paper presents a 
                         new idea that utilizes information on boreal spring land surface 
                         temperature/subsurface temperature (LST/SUBT) anomalies over the 
                         Tibetan Plateau (TP) to improve prediction of subsequent summer 
                         droughts/foods over several regions over the world, East Asia and 
                         North America in particular. The work was performed in the 
                         framework of the GEWEX/LS4P Phase I (LS4P-I) experiment, which 
                         focused on whether the TP LST/SUBT provides an additional source 
                         for subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) predictability. The summer 2003, 
                         when there were severe drought/food over the southern/northern 
                         part of the Yangtze River basin, respectively, has been selected 
                         as the focus case. With the newly developed LST/SUBT 
                         initialization method, the observed surface temperature anomaly 
                         over the TP has been partially produced by the LS4P-I model 
                         ensemble mean, and 8 hotspot regions in the world were identifed 
                         where June precipitation is signifcantly associated with anomalies 
                         of May TP land temperature. Consideration of the TP LST/SUBT efect 
                         has produced about 2550% of observed precipitation anomalies in 
                         most hotspot regions. The multiple models have shown more 
                         consistency in the hotspot regions along the Tibetan Plateau-Rocky 
                         Mountain Circumglobal (TRC) wave train. The mechanisms for the 
                         LST/SUBT efect on the 2003 drought over the southern part of the 
                         Yangtze River Basin are discussed. For comparison, the global SST 
                         efect has also been tested and 6 regions with signifcant SST 
                         efects were identifed in the 2003 case, explaining about 2550% of 
                         precipitation anomalies over most of these regions. This study 
                         suggests that the TP LST/SUBT efect is a frst-order source of S2S 
                         precipitation predictability, and hence it is comparable to that 
                         of the SST efect. With the completion of the LS4P-I, the LS4P-II 
                         has been launched and the LS4P-II protocol is briefy presented.",
                  doi = "10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06905-5",
                 issn = "0930-7575",
                label = "lattes: 6041333024387123 22 
                         
                         XueDBZZLNYTSKVASMLTYNQQNSWZZNPPFSXBBBFHLPZMRBCRVKELGZTLQZ:2023:GEPhI",
             language = "pt",
           targetfile = "s00382-023-06905-5.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "01 maio 2024"
}